WeatherNJ - Camden County

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DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>027-PAZ070-071-232100-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-CAMDEN NJ-CAPE MAY NJ-
CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-
CUMBERLAND NJ-DE PA-DE BEACHES DE-GLOUCESTER NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-NEW CASTLE DE-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
SALEM NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-TALBOT MD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF.ATLANTIC CITY.CAMDEN.DOVER.NEWARK.
PHILADELPHIA.VINELAND & WILMINGTON
341 AM EST WED FEB 23 2005

WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THUR & THUR NIGHT.

THE NATL WEATHER SVC HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR
THURSDAY & THUR NIGHT FOR THE MD EASTERN SHORE.ALL OF
DE.THE S. HALF OF NJ & EXTREME SE
PA. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FOUR OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW
WITH THE GREATEST THREAT AT THIS MOMENT ACROSS S. AREAS OF OUR
DELMARVA PENINSULA & EXTREME SE NJ.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORMING OVER THE GULF COAST STATES IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE OFF THE S. NO. CAROLINA COAST THUR AFTERNOON &
MOVE NE THUR NIGHT. THE EXPECTED STORM TRACK SHOULD BE
CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE COAST FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW TO FALL.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN DURING THUR MORNING, FALL AT ITS
HEAVIEST DURING THE THUR AFTERNOON & THE FIRST PART OF
THURSDAY EVENING & THEN SLOWLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY DURING THE
REST OF THE NIGHT BEFORE ENDING BY MORNING.

WHILE SOME MELTING OF THE SNOW IS POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON HEAVIER
TRAVELED ROADS, UNDER THE PRESENT SCENARIO MOST, IF NOT ALL,
UNTREATED ROADS SHOULD BE SNOW COVERED BY THE EVENING COMMUTE. WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG & BLOWING & DRIFTING SHOULD NOT BE
A PROBLEM. CONVERSELY THIS SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE POWDERY
SIDE & SHOULD NOT CAUSE PROBLEMS TO POWER LINES.

PLEASE LISTEN FOR FURTHER DETAILS & POSSIBLE WARNINGS OR
ADVISORIES. PLEASE MAKE ALL YOUR THE NECESSARY PREPARATIONS TODAY
AND THUR MORNING BEFORE THE SNOW ARRIVES.

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER MIGHT
OCCUR, BUT IS NOT IMMINENT. AT THE TIME, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. FUTURE DRIVING & WALKING CONDITIONS
MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS, SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

$$


THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR THE WINTER OF LATE 2004 THROUGH
EARLY 2005.  THE PROBABILITIES GIVEN BELOW ARE BASED ON A
COMBINATION OF STATISTICAL THEORY, OUR SNOWFALL FORECASTS OVER THE
PAST SEVERAL WINTERS, & THE MOST LIKELY SNOWFALL TOTALS FOR THIS
POTENTIAL STORM.  THE PERIOD OF EXPECTED SNOWFALL IS THUR INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT.

=====================================================================

           PROBABILITY (PERCENT) OF REACHING OR EXCEEDING
         THE FOLLOWING STORM-TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS (INCHES)

=====================================================================
STATION      2IN    4IN    6IN    9IN   12IN   18IN   24IN
=====================================================================

MPO          60     30     15      5     <5     <5     <5
ABE          60     30     15      5     <5     <5     <5
PHL          70     50     25     10      5     <5     <5  
ACY          80     65     45     15      5     <5     <5
GED          85     75     55     25     15     <5     <5
=====================================================================
PROBABILITIES ARE ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST 5 PERCENT.

STATION IDENTIFIERS:

MPO - MOUNT POCONO, PA (MOUNT POCONO AIRPORT)
ABE - ALLENTOWN, PA (LEHIGH VALLEY INTERNATL AIRPORT)
PHL - PHILADELPHIA, PA (PHILADELPHIA INTERNATL AIRPORT)
ACY - POMONA, NJ (ATLANTIC CITY INTERNATL AIRPORT)
GED - GEORGETOWN, DE (SUSSEX COUNTY AIRPORT)

********************************************************************

TFG





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