Monday, August 18, 2008

Fay's knocking on Mom's Door

Looks like Mom might be in for a windy/rainy night and all day Tuesday. If I was still living down there I would be rapidly be backing up servers, hanging tarps for that just in case the roof leaks, and readying to shutdown all server racks. But that was another lifetime. I don't have those worries anymore. Those responsibilities are on others now. 

I tried to check the National Hurricane Center for updated information by the site is down. As it looks like Miami has already met Fay they could be experiencing technical problems like power outages or downed Internet connections, or maybe their servers are just not robust enough to support all the hits they are getting.

Intellicast.com is still up and running (click here for Radar Page), so I am able to get a radar overview of the southern part of the state. I was also able to scrape this Tropical Storm Notice.

 

Clearwater, FL (Updated 8/18/2008 11:26:02 AM EST)

TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
534 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
...TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTH NORTHWEST OVER CUBA...
.AT 5 AM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.54 DEGREES NORTH...80.9 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF FORT MYERS...AND ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1003 MB...OR 29.62 INCHES. FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AND COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. FLZ050-051-055-060>062-065-GMZ830-853-856-873-876-181745-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST.PETERSBURG...BRANDON...TAMPA...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE...ARCADIA...PORT_CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
534 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTYTO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.
FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE (HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ).
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS INCLUDING THE UPPER PORTIONS OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH... SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY...A SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE IF FAY STAYS OFFSHORE TUESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS.
...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 80 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 40 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL
AFFECT THE AREA.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON MONDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 AM EDT.
$$

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